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Reliever Usage Pattern, 1999-2002 (June 24, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 8:03 p.m., June 25, 2003 (#21) - Philip Nut
  This is a really fun stat.
I was wondering if LI is normalized so that
Sum(LI) over all atbats = Number of at bats
(over a very large sample of at bats)

Also, Can someone refer me to where I can find:
the avg LI for starting pitchers vs avg LI for relievers

different subject----
Tangotiger,
have you tried the following yet?
(W/L)= [ (RS) / (RA_SP * LI_SP + RA_relievers * LI_relievers) ] ^2
as a sort of improved pythagorean relationship for a team....
I think this only works assuming the above normalization- if so, I can almost guarantee that this would work better than pythag
(RA_SP= runs allowed by starting pitchers, RA_relievers= runs allowed by relievers)

I don't think it spoils the spirit of the pythag formula since there is prob just as much correlation between the strength of a team's offense and defense, as there is between the strength of a teams's starting pitching and relief pitching. I also don't think it'd take away from its predictive power.

Philip Nut

bah, LaTeX, bah


Reliever Usage Pattern, 1999-2002 (June 24, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 8:52 p.m., June 25, 2003 (#22) - Philip Nut
  strike part of the end of my comment-- the spirit of the pythag formula has little to do with the weakness of correlation between the strength of a team's offense and defense (who knew what I was thinking)


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